Between 1998 and
2012 atmospheric temperatures increased on a decadal average of only .04 degrees
whereas from 1984 to 1998 that average had been .26 degrees. If the 1998-2012
average could be maintained throughout this
century the warming problem would be over.
Although sea level rise induced by global warming is one
of the greatest threats mankind currently faces, between 1999 and 2013
atmospheric temperatures remained essentially flat (Figure 1 right) and in 2010
sea levels declined (Figure 2 right).
NASA has confirmed the missing heat of the hiatus was trapped in the
waters of the Pacific and Indian oceans to a depth of about 1000 feet. (Figure
The 2010 drop in sea level rise was the result of extreme
movements of ocean volume to land induced by a strong La Niņa cycle. A large
portion of this water ended up in Australia and Brazil per Figure 4.
These are the
analogies we need to learn from in order to effectively deal with global warming
and its greatest risks, sea level rise and storm surge.